Too many fights and not enough time! UFC pulled out zero stops for UFC Fight Night 100 with a so-so card in Brazil on November 19.
Ryan “Darth” Bader vs. Antônio Rogério Nogueira aka Lil Nog
I am amazed Disney hasn’t sure Ryan for trademark infringements yet on his nickname. His silly nickname that hs only chose to avoid the masterbature joke aside, he is an elite 205 fighter that hasn’t had his chance at the title yet. Ryan is a 2 time Division 1 wrestler at ASU with CB Dollaway and Cain Velasquez that has massive power in his hand. He striking keeps improving and really showed that off in his last fight against Illir Latifi. This is actually a rematch and I expect a better performance but same result from Bader.
While I have massive respect for Big Nog, I have the opposite feelings toward his younger brother Lil Nog. A National Boxing Champ in Brazil and a Black Belt in BJJ, he sounds super good on paper. His boxing has never impressed me and was never very active in guard. Overall, he is super overrated in a thin division.
This is a good name to help keep Bader relevant in the 205 pound division.
Prediction: Bader by TKO in the second.
Thomas Almeida vs. Albert Morales
Coming back from his first professional defeat, Thomas Almeida will be looking to get back the his winning ways. Almeida has proven to be a fantastic finisher with 19 out of 21 of his wins coming via submission or TKO/KO. The big x-factor in this fights is how the loss will affect the way he fights. Even with a slow first round, Thomas will get in gear eventually to get the finish.
Albert is taking a gigantic of a step up in competition as one can get, almost like he pissed of matchmaker Sean Shelby. This is Morales’ second fight in the UFC and his first one ended in the rare draw. Even with a 6-0-1 record, he already has experience fighting in big shows like Bellator, WSOF, BAMMA, and the UFC.
Prediction: Thomas Almeida by KO in the second
Cláudia Gadelha vs. Cortney “Cast Iron” Casey
Claudia is in a tough spot now, lost twice to the champion but much better than the rest of the division. If she wants another crack at the title, she has to start at the bottom of the ladder. She has world class Jui Jitsu skills and solid striking. The one knock in her game is she tends to fade deep into fights but I don’t expect Casey to be the one pushing the action.
Cast Iron is 2-2 in the UFC she set off with back to back losses against See Ho Ham and Joanne Calderwood. She has righted that ship with two wins but Gadelha is a different animal than Randa Markos.
Prediction: Claudia by second round submission
Thales Leites vs. Krzysztof Jotko
Thales was about to make a hell of a resurgence until a split decision to current Middleweight champ Michael Bisping followed by another decision loss to Gegard Mousasi. At 34 years old, I am not sure how long he can continue to compete at an elite level, this seems like they type of fight he should win.
This is Jotko’s first real test in the UFC now that he is on a four fight win streak. A Polish fighter, Jotko’s best chance of winning is to keep this on the feet. Even then, that is no guarantee as Leites has big power. He will have to bring his A game is he want to continue to rise up he Middleweight ladder.
Prediction: Leites by submission in the second round
Johnny Eduardo vs. Manvel Gamburyan
The Nova Unio striking instructor, Johnny has trained killers like Jose Aldo and Renan Berao. For the past several years he only fights every blue moon but is un-explicitly still in the top 15 of the division. As expected he has some incredible Muay Thai and likes to throw huge power. If he can keep this fight standing up, he should be able to pick Manvel apart until he crumbles.
Manvel is a high level judoka. The problem is, his name isn’t Ronda Rousey so that skill set doesn’t have a ton of use. He has some decent power but has tiny t-rex arms make it super unlikely he will win any striking exchange. The biggest avenue for him to win is by bull rushing him early, hope to god he doesn’t catch you on the way in, grab him and never let go. Rinse and repeat until the final bell.
Prediction: Johnny by KO in the second
Pedro Munhoz vs. Justin Scoggins
Pedro is a gangster on the mat and his striking keeps getting better training at Black House with other legends like Anderson Silva and Lyoto Machida. He gave Assundca all he can handle on late notice for his UFC debut, Munhoz has the pedigree and team to be a world class fighter, he just needs to string the wins together.
Justin is a legit prospect that like to use a more traditional martial arts stance and kicks. So far, he has been pretty good at keeping distance and avoiding extended grappling exchanges. He will have to that here because Pedro is a world class threat on the ground.
Prediction: Munhoz by sub in the first